Hello,

I made beatthecouch.com in July and it’s basically a game where you try to beat the S&P 500 and buy/sell when you want. Your opponent is a couch. It buys on day one and never sells.

Now over 100K+ games later, the hypothesis stands: it’s not wise to try to trade and time the market. Here’s the original data from the actual games itself.

Source: the game’s own database, every completed game Jul 12 to Aug 28. Tool: Python and matplotlib. Market data: S&P 500 daily total returns 1928 to 2019.

thanks!

  • blitzen@lemmy.caEnglish
    91·
    8 days ago

    Generally, you can’t expect to beat the market even with informed guesses. That’s the point.

    • emeralddawn45@lemmy.dbzer0.comEnglish
      21·
      8 days ago

      That’s isn’t the point though, because that’s not what the game shows. That might be the point the creator is trying to make, but it’s not what the game is.